A total of 142.6 million tons of grains is projected for the 2025/26 campaign, representing an 8.9% increase compared to the previous cycle. Corn would be the main protagonist, with an interannual increase exceeding 18%, while soybean production is expected to fall by 3.6%. A strong increase in sunflower production is also anticipated.
During the launch of the 2025/2026 coarse crop campaign by the Buenos Aires Grain Exchange, where the first production estimates, exports, and the contribution of agricultural chains to the Argentine economy for the new production cycle were presented, projections for sowing and harvest estimates for the main crops in Argentina were revealed.
Following his opening speech, Ricardo Marra, President of the Grain Exchange, shared the entity’s projections for coarse crop production in the new 2025/26 campaign.
In this context, the data estimate an 18.4% increase in corn production and a 16% increase in sunflower compared to the previous campaign. However, a 3.6% decline in soybean production is expected. This is under a neutral medium-term climate scenario with excellent water reserves.
Faced with this outlook, the entity stated that the area allocated to the four main coarse crops would reach 17.6 million hectares (MHa) for soybeans (-4.3% i.a.), 7.8 MHa for corn (9.9% i.a.), 2.7 MHa for sunflower (22.7% i.a.), and 0.9 MHa for sorghum (10% i.a.).
It also highlighted a greater intention among producers to apply a high level of technology to the crops, particularly noting a potential 8% increase in the case of corn destined for commercial grain. Among the options envisioned with the greatest emphasis, the choice of planting material and the use of fertilizers stand out.
Regarding production projections, corn output is estimated to reach 58 million tons (MTn), 48.5 MTn for soybeans, 5.8 MTn for sunflower, and 3 MTn for sorghum, with interannual increases of 18.4%, -3.6%, 16%, and -3.2%, respectively.
It is worth noting that these figures will be subject to the evolution of precipitation and temperatures during the sowing window and the critical period for defining crop yields.
In this context, Ramiro Costa, the entity’s chief economist, emphasized that the projected production of 142.6 million tons for the 2024/25 campaign represents an 8.9% increase compared to the previous campaign.
From this, exports would rise by 3.3%, reaching $32.938 billion USD. Additionally, the consolidated fiscal revenue generated by the campaign would be $12.905 billion USD (+6.5%), and the value added would reach $43.237 billion USD (+1.5%).
Regarding this, Costa mentioned that while the total projected production volume is a record (with records in corn and sunflower), the sown area is also at a record level. This result is largely due to climatic factors: “Our country, with more and better adoption of technology, could easily reach 155 million tons of production, for which a fundamental requirement is the adoption of stable, long-term policies aimed at reducing the tax burden, as expressed by the President of the Exchange in his remarks.”el Presidente de la Bolsa en sus palabras”