The water level of the Paraná River near Rosario rose to 1.81 meters this Thursday, and it is expected to continue increasing. Forecasts indicate it could reach 2.74 meters next week and keep rising until the end of the year, reaching 4.50 meters. This upward trend will be reflected throughout the entire Paraná River.
According to the report from the National Water Institute (INA), “the levels are steadily rising due to the passage of an ordinary flood wave, ranging from medium water levels to medium-high in the upper sections and from medium-low to medium levels in the lower sections.”
Throughout its Argentine stretch, the Paraná River will increase significantly. However, INA spokesperson Juan Borus stated: “It is an ordinary rise, not a major flood. But it will keep rising in the final weeks of the year.”
“We are experiencing a period of change, faster and more accelerated than we expected. After the drought and low levels of the past five years, the ideal scenario is for humidity to stabilize in the region and normalize—not for deluges to occur sporadically. The goal is a stable climate: rain one day, then again a week later, and so on. This is what is happening now in the northeastern coastal region”.
Moreover, the expert confirmed that the river at Rosario is on track to exceed the 2.40-meter mark next week and will be “above medium water levels.” Depending on rainfall, the year could end with the Paraná River at Rosario’s port reaching 4.50 meters.
Although this height is not concerning—since the alert level begins at 5 meters—Borus reminded: “Not long ago, the alert level for Rosario was 4.30 meters, and it was changed. The reality is that many people live in low-lying areas and along the riverbanks, and they are affected by rises below the 5-meter mark.”
Finally, Borus mentioned that an updated forecast will be released this Friday. “The current climate pattern is very rapid, which significantly limits our work.” It remains to be seen how rainfall in the northeastern region will unfold and how much it will impact the Paraná River.